short term – Aisa Net Fri, 11 Mar 2022 15:14:29 +0000 en-US hourly 1 short term – Aisa Net 32 32 Last war in Ukraine: Kiev asks for security guarantees from the United States, Europe and Russia Fri, 11 Mar 2022 15:05:29 +0000

Ukraine is asking for security guarantees from the United States, European countries and Moscow as part of a possible settlement after the Russian invasion, a government adviser has said.

Kiev has acknowledged that its long-term goal of joining NATO’s military alliance is distant due to Kremlin opposition, and is instead seeking a separate short-term security deal, an adviser to President Volodymyr said on Friday. Zelensky.

Mykhailo Podolyak’s comments followed the breakdown of peace talks between Russian and Ukrainian foreign ministers in the southern Turkish city of Antalya.

Thursday’s meeting was their first since Russia invaded its neighbor on February 24, but it yielded few results, with sticking points including Moscow’s territorial claims over parts of Ukraine.

NATO “is still not ready to accept Ukraine as an unconditional partner,” Podolyak told the Financial Times. “This uncertainty, as we understand it, will last for a long time.”

He added that Ukraine was discussing “new European security formats” with Russia and the West that could give Ukraine “comparable guarantees” to Article 5 of the NATO treaty.

Podolyak made it clear that Ukraine would not agree to another deal with weak assurances, such as the 1994 Budapest Memorandum signed by Kyiv, Moscow, the United States and the United Kingdom.

The deal meant that Ukraine handed over its Soviet-era nuclear arsenal, which was the third largest in the world at the time, to Russia in return for security guarantees from the other signatories.

“The main problem with the Budapest Memorandum is the lack of clear legal obligations for the guarantor parties in the event of aggression,” Podolyak said.

“Now when we talk about security guarantees for Ukraine, we are only talking about clear legal obligations,” he added. “Specific logistical actions. Thus, in the event of aggression against Ukraine, specific states are legally bound to take specific measures to protect Ukraine,” he added.

Analysis: the Japanese yen becomes a financing currency again, but with more risks Tue, 15 Feb 2022 09:45:00 +0000

HONG KONG, Feb 15 (Reuters) – As the Bank of Japan asserts its position as a lone dove among its peers, the yen is regaining its status as the world’s most popular funding currency.

The trade is risky, however, as the yen could once again become a safe haven if tensions over Ukraine escalate or an aggressive Federal Reserve triggers a sell-off in markets.

The conventional role of the yen as a cheap currency that investors could borrow and use to fund “carry” trades in higher-yielding markets has been diluted somewhat during the coronavirus pandemic, as other central banks also cut their rates to zero.

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But it once again became the preferred funding currency this week after the BOJ announced a special bond-buying operation to remind markets of its commitment to keeping yields low for longer.

This stance is at odds with the Fed and European central banks which have become decidedly hawkish about inflation.

“If you’re an investor in London or Hong Kong and you’re thinking about what currency to fund a transaction with, you’re basically left with one central bank…at least for now,” Ben said. Shatil. , a Tokyo-based FX strategist at JPMorgan.

“And it’s an environment that has generally favored the yen as a funding currency for carry trades.”

Some things haven’t changed for the yen. Japan has one of the weakest currencies among the Group of Seven countries, sub-zero short-term rates and a base of domestic investors desperate for yield overseas.

Yet, Ukraine factor aside, shorting the yen has become a riskier transaction.

The prospect of higher energy prices and imported inflation could force the BOJ to raise rates. An associated risk is that the Fed goes too fast and too far with its tightening policy, causing a global sell-off in the markets which generates flows towards the safe-haven yen.

In a typical carry trade, investors borrow the low yielding yen or Swiss franc to invest in higher yielding assets elsewhere. The stability of the funding currency is essential to keep the cost of the transaction low.

In a deflation-ridden Japan, short-term yen deposit rates have been close to zero for decades, and negative since 2016, when the BOJ adopted its yield curve control policy.

An example of a typical carry trade would be to borrow yen to invest in Brazilian money markets. This trade has returned 10.7% annualized so far this year.

Paul Mackel, global head of FX at HSBC, says investors can return to the yen as the funding currency of choice, but it’s risky.

“A carry trade will never be very smooth, it’s always about picking up pennies in front of the steamroller, but that steamroller may be a little closer given those uncertainties associated with political risk,” Mackel said.


As the United States warns of an acceleration in the build-up of Russian forces on the Ukrainian border, the yen rose.

After testing its more than four-year low at 116.33 on the dollar last week, it strengthened strongly to 115.33. This type of rapid appreciation erodes carry trades, most of which involve shorting the funding currency.

“The safe-haven properties of the yen can accelerate very quickly,” Mackel said.

There are also fears that Japanese policymakers will worry about the economic impact of a weak yen, especially as the country imports most of its energy and oil prices have hit seven-year highs.

Inflation has edged closer to the BOJ’s 2% policy target, raising the odds that the BOJ will loosen its grip on yields and that rising yields will torpedo yen-funded trades.

The BOJ leaves the markets guessing. While he offered to buy an unlimited number of bonds this week to underscore his determination to contain domestic borrowing costs, he made it clear that such offers would only be made sporadically. Read more

For now, investors are buying into the dovish view.

The BOJ’s offer to buy bonds, “in the near term will likely quiet what was a pretty loud chorus of people saying the BOJ would give in on yield curve control,” JPMorgan’s Shatil said.

This “creates a track for a bit of yen weakness, which would be helpful in the context of these carry trades.”

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Editing by Vidya Ranganathan and Jacqueline Wong

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China’s wild markets raise the stakes for traders buying into the rally Sat, 22 Jan 2022 01:08:27 +0000

(Bloomberg) — The battle between fear and greed is wreaking havoc on Chinese financial markets.

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With China bulls finally getting some vindication as the country’s stocks and bonds rally, the past week shows that investors need to be prepared for wild swings. Take Country Garden Holdings Co., the nation’s largest developer. On Monday, its 2024 bond plunged 10 cents on the dollar to trade as a stressed asset, only to jump a record 14 cents two days later. The Hang Seng index of Chinese companies fell for five straight days before rallying the most since July on Thursday.

After last year saw one of the worst relative performances in recent Chinese market history, the country’s ultra-low valuations stand out. While the People’s Bank of China stepped up monetary easing last week and pledged to do more, its dovish tone sets it apart from tighter policies in most major economies. Signs that the Communist Party may withdraw its campaign against the real estate sector add to the bullish trend as traders seek alternatives to pricey global tech stocks.

“We’re starting to see more and more policy adjustments aimed at, what we’re seeing, damage limitation,” said Citigroup Inc. strategists led by Dirk Willer. The “recovery in real estate bonds is mainly a short cover, but nevertheless a welcome one”.

Many investors, analysts and strategists are betting their reputation on a 2022 rally in Chinese markets. Since late last year, Societe Generale SA, Goldman Sachs Group Inc., BlackRock Inc., UBS Group AG and HSBC Holdings Plc have all been overweight domestic equities. In December, JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s Marko Kolanovic recommended betting on China this year, predicting that the MSCI China index would rise nearly 40%.

SocGen strategists say Chinese stocks make up 20% of their global equity exposure in a multi-asset portfolio.

On the credit front, firms such as Allianz Global Investors, Axa Investment Managers and Oaktree Capital Group have said in recent months that they are looking to increase their holdings of battered real estate debt. Jason Brown, a former head of Goldman’s special situations group, last month raised an initial $245 million for his Arkkan Capital to invest in distressed Chinese mortgages and bonds.

Such optimism has been tested many times. The Hang Seng China gauge fell to a nearly six-year low earlier this month and the yield on Chinese junk dollar bonds jumped above 20% as risks to the economy grew.

“A lot of people in the market were too optimistic and called for a strong rebound too soon,” said Hao Hong, chief strategist and head of research at Bocom International.

From now on, bullish bets prove to be more fruitful. The Hang Seng Index closed its fifth week of gains – the longest winning streak in two years. Real estate bonds rose amid speculation, authorities will take steps to ease the industry’s liquidity crunch. A local media report said Friday that banks had accelerated mortgage approvals in some major cities. Regulators could ease restrictions on developers’ access to funds from pre-sold homes, according to reports earlier in the week.

Successful funding deals by two of China’s biggest developers have also helped ease fears that stronger companies are under financial strain. Country Garden raised $500 million by selling convertible bonds, according to a filing released Friday. Greentown China Holdings Ltd., the seventh largest developer by contract sales, this week sold a $400 million bond in the largest offshore deal by a developer since September.

Even though stocks ended the week higher in Hong Kong, measures of expected swings rose as derivatives traders bought protection. The city’s VIX equivalent climbed 11%, the most in two months. The record rally in Chinese property bonds lost momentum on Thursday as investors debated whether looser rules on the use of blocked funds would provide enough short-term liquidity.

Reasons for caution remain. Many weaker developers with looming maturities are still locked out of the dollar bond market, and worries about hidden debt risks are keeping traders on edge. China Aoyuan Group Ltd. just became the eighth known developer to default on its dollar debt since October. The Chinese crackdown on the tech industry shows no signs of letting up, with Beijing vowing to limit their influence and stamp out corruption linked to the “chaotic” expansion of capital.

Nor is there any real playbook for what happens to the markets when the PBOC diverges so far from the Federal Reserve on policy. China’s central bank has rarely cut interest rates during US tightening cycles – according to one economist, the last time was in 1999, when China was effectively closed to most international investors.

“There is a clear need to introduce more measures to anticipate systemic risks, and we expect further policy adjustments in the coming weeks,” DBS Group currency and credit strategists wrote in a note. recent. “Volatility remains the theme.”

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China injects most liquidity in two months, triggering gains on bonds Tue, 28 Dec 2021 09:27:52 +0000


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China increased its injection of short-term liquidity into the banking system to a two-month high as demand for liquidity increased before year-end. Government bonds won.

The People’s Bank of China added 200 billion yuan ($ 31 billion) in liquidity to the financial system through seven-day repurchase agreements, more than offsetting the upcoming 10 billion yuan. The yield on 10-year government bonds fell to 2.795%, the lowest level since June 2020.

The PBOC transaction came after an indicator of short-term borrowing costs rose the most in a year on Monday, a sign of liquidity shortages in the interbank market. The liquidity supply tends to tighten towards the end of the year as banks accumulate liquidity to prepare for regulatory checks.

“The large amount of injection will help ease the pressure on liquidity,” said Zhaopeng Xing, senior strategist at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. “There is a need to help financial institutions get through the end of the year smoothly.”

Earlier this month, the PBOC lowered the required reserve ratio in a bid to maintain a plentiful supply of liquidity and support the country’s economic recovery from the pandemic. At its quarterly meeting, the PBOC pledged to use monetary policy tools more “proactively” to support growth.

The seven-day repo rate fell 13 basis points to 2.29% at 5:07 p.m. local time after climbing 52 basis points on Monday. Costs on the same tenor’s contracts in the forex market fell 5.16%, from the highest close since January in the previous session.

“The net injection will likely continue for the rest of the week,” said Peiqian Liu, Chinese economist at Natwest Markets. As the PBOC’s rhetoric in December leaned in the conciliatory side, signaling Beijing’s concerns about the near-term growth prospects, China should be prepared to use widespread easing tools to help the economy, he said. -she adds.

(Updates with bond movements in the first and second paragraphs, updates to the sixth paragraph with the latest prices.)

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Asia IPOs face headwinds after record year of fundraising Sat, 18 Dec 2021 21:00:00 +0000

(Bloomberg) – After a record year of stock quotes, Asian companies may struggle to repeat success in 2022 given the prospect of rising interest rates and China’s tightening grip on big technologies.

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Thanks to a meteoric first half in the midst of a global boom, initial public offerings in the region have reached $ 190 billion so far this year, already a record and up 31% from overall. 2020. But momentum has weakened considerably in recent months as Beijing has stepped up a regulatory attack on private enterprise, putting major deals on hold and injecting uncertainty into next year.

Bankers say they expect Asia’s IPO market to be less frenetic and more balanced in 2022, as higher inflation erodes valuations of tech companies and tighter US monetary policy reduces the supply of unused cash. The list landscape may also appear more diverse, with South Korea and India leading the way and sectors ranging from clean energy to financial services filling the void left by once-dominant Chinese technology.

“The markets in 2022 will face a more normalized environment,” said William Smiley, co-head of equity capital markets at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. in Asia Ex-Japan. “The withdrawal of fiscal and monetary stimulus, coupled with higher inflation expectations, can challenge risky assets, including stock markets. “

Beijing’s scrutiny of its tech companies, on issues ranging from data security to a loophole long used by companies to register overseas, is also expected to continue to slow the pace of fundraising from of the sector.

This, added to the poor performance of the secondary market, pushed Hong Kong, a popular destination for Chinese technology companies, out of the top three places in the world. Several companies, from snack producer Weilong Delicious Global Holdings Ltd. Apple Inc. supplier Biel Crystal Manufactory Ltd. pushed back stock offerings in the city, a development that is expected to make the last three months of this year the weakest fourth quarter. since 2018 for IPOs in Asia.

“Divert from China”

Chinese companies may not be affected by Beijing’s regulatory crackdown or the beneficiaries of the country’s development priorities, including new energy suppliers and electric vehicle manufacturers.

The new year should see a more diverse group of companies entering the market, said Magnus Andersson, co-head of equity capital markets for Asia-Pacific at Morgan Stanley. “It’s not just the consumer, the Internet and technology, it’s also more industrialists and financial institutions.”

Candidates include startup Hozon New Energy Automobile Co. and the property management business of developer Longfor Group Holdings Ltd., Bloomberg reported earlier.

The moderate presence of Chinese tech will also help to geographically balance the region’s IPO pipeline, as South Korea, India and Southeast Asia maintain a busy issuance schedule.

Companies in India, South Korea and Indonesia all raised record amounts through share sales for the first time this year. And there’s more to come: Ongoing mega-deals include LG Energy Solution’s $ 10.8 billion Seoul IPO and Life Insurance Corp.’s offering. from India to Mumbai with a valuation of up to $ 131 billion.

Some of Southeast Asia’s biggest tech unicorns are also expected to launch stocks next year, said Selina Cheung, co-head of equity capital markets for Asia at UBS Group AG. “Now is the right time, as investor attention is shifting away from China, at least in the short term. “

Homecoming IPO

Despite expectations of a lower supply from Chinese tech companies as first-time sellers of stocks, more of their US-listed counterparts are likely to seek listing in Hong Kong or Shanghai. , a phenomenon known as “coming home”.

Weibo Corp., Baidu Inc. and Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. The trend is expected to accelerate in the face of growing threats from the United States to delist Chinese companies from the list.

Rideshare giant Didi Global Inc. and video streaming site IQiyi Inc. are already in the queue for such announcements in Hong Kong, while Futu Holdings Ltd., Tencent Music Entertainment Group and Pinduoduo Inc. are also in line. likely candidates.

Once Beijing’s regulatory situation clears up, “the show will bounce back,” Goldman’s Smiley said. “The positioning is light and China is under-owned.”

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ASEAN Shared Mobility Market 2021 – With AirAsia Ride, BlueSG and BMW among others Tue, 14 Dec 2021 17:21:00 +0000


DUBLIN, December 14, 2021– (BUSINESS WIRE) – The “ASEAN Shared Mobility Growth Opportunities” report has been added to offer.

The study assesses the main trends in shared mobility within the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), covering Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam.

The main shared mobility activities addressed in the study include carsharing, eHailing, carpooling, public transport adapted to demand and micro-mobility.

In 2020, affected by the COVID-19 pandemic, social distancing and nationwide lockdowns in Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines and Thailand reduced demand for eHailing services. Corresponding governments have restricted the social and business activities of residents. The eHailing activity has been affected and this trend will continue in the short term.

The oligopoly of the market results in high barriers to entry for potential new entrants. Grab and Gojek has the largest fleet and the largest subscriber base in ASEAN. Consequently, the barriers to entry into the eHailing market are relatively high. In particular, Grab has extended its activities to most of the ASEAN countries. In addition, Grab integrates food delivery and shared mobility services into its applications; this increases the utilization rate and the reliability of the users. At the same time, it reduces the market opportunities for other competitors.

Although the number of private vehicle owners is relatively high in some ASEAN countries, eHailing is in demand in major capitals. Capital cities, such as Bangkok, Jakarta, and Kuala Lumpur, have heavy traffic and high vehicle flow. Residents face parking difficulties and high parking rates, such as in workspaces and commercial buildings (long parking time). eHailing overcomes these drawbacks.

Carsharing is a relatively new shared mobility solution in ASEAN. The main adoptive countries are Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand. The market is nascent and will continue to grow.

The study profiles the top 10 shared mobility trends in ASEAN. Each shared mobility trend includes snapshots of a key value proposition, profiles of key industry participants, and a relevant case study of the trend.

In addition, the study also covers key growth drivers and growth constraints of the market and identifies three growth opportunities.

Companies mentioned

  • AirAsia ride

  • Airovr

  • Angkas

  • Shine

  • BlueSG

  • Bmw

  • Car club

  • ComfortDelGro

  • Conduct

  • FastGo

  • Flux

  • GoCar

  • GoDee

  • Gojek

  • Gojo

  • To grab

  • GrabWheels

  • Haupcar


  • MooVita

  • Moovr

  • Mobility of neurons

  • Oyika



  • ST Engineering

  • Tron

Main topics covered:

1. Strategic imperatives

2. Analysis of growth opportunities

  • Overview of shared mobility in ASEAN

  • Segmentation of shared mobility

  • ASEAN’s shared mobility growth drivers

  • Growth constraints in ASEAN’s shared mobility

3. Top 10 market trends for shared mobility in ASEAN

  • ASEAN Shared Mobility Trend 1 – Transformative Electric Vehicle Megatrends

  • Key Industry Participants – Transformative Electric Vehicle Megatrends

  • ASEAN Shared Mobility Trend 2 – An innovative car subscription business model that shifts vehicle ownership to the user

  • Key Industry Participants – Innovative Automotive Subscription Business Model That Shifts Vehicle Ownership to User

  • ASEAN Shared Mobility Trend 3 – A new wave of competition in the eHailing market has started

  • Key Industry Participants – A New Wave of Competition in the eHailing Market Has Begun

  • ASEAN Shared Mobility Trend 4 – Convergence of Food Delivery Service Industry Brings Revenue Streams to eHailing Market

  • Key Industry Participants – Convergence of Food Delivery Service Industry Brings Revenue Streams to eHailing Market

  • ASEAN Shared Mobility Trend 5 – Evolution of Medical Measurement and Social Distancing Awareness

  • Key Industry Participants – Evolution of Medical Measurement and Social Distancing Awareness

  • ASEAN Shared Mobility Trend 6 – Existing automotive and transportation participants to join rivals in shared mobility

  • Key Industry Participants – Existing Automotive and Transportation Participants to Join Their Shared Mobility Business Rivals

  • ASEAN Shared Mobility Trend 7 – Enterprise carsharing is on the rise

  • Key Industry Participants – Corporate Carsharing Is On The Rise

  • ASEAN Shared Mobility Trend 8 – The penetration of shared shuttles has begun

  • Key Industry Participants – Shared Shuttle Penetration Has Begun

  • ASEAN Shared Mobility Trend 9 – Shared electric two-wheelers tailored to individual needs

  • Key Industry Participants – Shared Electric Two-Wheelers Tailored to Individual Needs

  • ASEAN Shared Mobility Trend 10 – The Penetration of Autonomous Driving Technology

  • Key Industry Participants – The Penetration of Autonomous Driving Technology

4. Universe of growth opportunities, shared mobility

  • Growth Opportunity 1 – Innovative Business Models for Shared Mobility Services

  • Growth opportunity 2 – Extension of the geographic coverage of shared mobility services

  • Growth Opportunity 3 – Application of Electric Powertrain and Industry Convergence for Shared Mobility Service Fleets

5. Annex

For more information on this report, visit

See the source version on

Laura Wood, Senior Press Director

For EST office hours, call 1-917-300-0470
For USA / CAN call toll free 1-800-526-8630
For GMT office hours, call + 353-1-416-8900


Japan’s insurance market to grow by $ 42.62 billion from 2021 to 2026 Sat, 11 Dec 2021 01:05:40 +0000


NEW YORK, December 10, 2021 / PRNewswire / – Technavio’s latest offering, Insurance market in Japan The report provides a detailed analysis of the competitive scenario, drivers, challenges, trends and market growth in various regions. Growth in the insurance market share in Japan speak life insurance industry will be important for income generation. The main factor behind the adoption of life insurance in Japan is the low interest rate charged by customers for life insurance.

Attractive Opportunities in Japan Insurance Market by Type and Sales Channel – Forecast and Analysis 2022-2026

The insurance market in Japan should grow by $ 42.62 billion 2021 to 2026. However, the growth momentum is expected to slow down to a 2.42% CAGR according to the latest Technavio report.

For more information on the insurance market in JapanDownload a free sample now!

Market dynamics

The market is influenced by factors such as the growing geriatric population in Japan, fear of natural disasters and the emphasis on short-term insurance. However, the vulnerability to cybercrime hinders market growth. Holistic analysis of drivers and challenges will help infer end goals and refine marketing strategies to gain competitive advantage. The Insurance Market Analysis Report Japan Also provides detailed information on other upcoming trends which will have a huge effect on the growth of the market

Company Profiles

The insurance market in Japan is fragmented and vendors deploy various organic and inorganic growth strategies to compete in the market. Some of the companies covered in this report are Allianz Group, Asahi Mutual Life Insurance Co., Dai-ichi Life Holdings Inc., LIFENET INSURANCE CO., Mitsubishi HC Capital Inc., MS and AD Insurance Group Holdings Inc., Sompo Holdings Inc. ., The Toa Reinsurance Co. Ltd., Tokio Marine Holdings Inc. and Zurich Insurance Co. Ltd., etc.

  • Allianz Group – The company offers a wide range of insurance services through its subsidiary Allianz Life Insurance Japan Ltd.

  • Asahi Mutual Life Insurance Co. – The company offers a wide range of insurance services, including nursing insurance.

  • Dai-ichi Life Holdings Inc. – The company offers a wide range of insurance products including life insurance worldwide.

  • LIFENET INSURANCE CO. – The company offers a wide range of insurance products, including life, medical and disability insurance.

  • Mitsubishi HC Capital Inc – The company offers a wide range of insurance services through its subsidiary Hitachi Capital Insurance Corporation.

The insurance market in Japan The forecast report provides detailed information on the main supplier profiles. The profiles include information on production, sustainability and prospects for major companies.

Competitive analysis

The report includes Competitive Analysis, a proprietary tool to analyze and assess the position of companies based on their Industry Position Score and Market Performance Score. The tool uses various factors to categorize players into four categories. Some of these factors considered for the analysis are financial performance over the past 3 years, growth strategies, innovation score, new product launches, investments, market share growth, etc.

Market segmentation

  • Through Type, the market is classified as life and non-life

  • Through Sales channel, the market is categorized into sales personnel, insurance agencies and others

Related reports-

Microinsurance market –The microinsurance market share is expected to increase by USD 30.44 billion from 2020 to 2025, and the market growth momentum will accelerate at a CAGR of 7.40%. Download a free sample now!

Travel insurance market –The travel insurance market has the potential to grow by $ 12.61 billion over the period 2021-2025, and the market growth dynamics will accelerate at a CAGR of 8.60%. Download a free sample now!

Insurance market in Japan

Cover of the report


Page number


Year of reference


Forecast period


Growth dynamics and CAGR

Decelerate to 2.42% CAGR

Market growth 2022-2026

$ 42.62 billion

Market structure


Annual growth (%)


Regional analysis


Efficient contribution to the market

100% Japan

Competitive landscape

Leading companies, competitive strategies, reach of consumer engagement

Profiled companies

Allianz Group, Asahi Mutual Life Insurance Co., Dai-ichi Life Holdings Inc., LIFENET INSURANCE CO., Mitsubishi HC Capital Inc., MS and AD Insurance Group Holdings Inc., Sompo Holdings Inc., The Toa Reinsurance Co. Ltd. , Tokio Marine Holdings Inc. and Zurich Insurance Co. Ltd.

Market dynamics

Parent Market Analysis, Market Growth Drivers and Obstacles, Analysis of Fast Growing and Slow Growing Segments, Impact of COVID-19 and Future Consumer Dynamics, Analysis of Market Conditions for the Forecast Period


If our report didn’t include the data you’re looking for, you can reach out to our analysts and customize the segments.

About Us

Technavio is one of the world’s leading technology research and consulting companies. Their research and analysis focuses on emerging market trends and provides actionable insights to help companies identify market opportunities and develop effective strategies to optimize their market positions. With over 500 specialist analysts, Technavio’s report library includes over 17,000 and more reports, spanning 800 technologies, spanning 50 countries. Their customer base consists of companies of all sizes, including more than 100 Fortune 500 companies. This growing customer base relies on Technavio’s comprehensive coverage, in-depth research and actionable market intelligence to identify opportunities in existing markets. and potentials and assess their competitive positions in changing market scenarios.


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Migrants, finance, gas … are now weapons in our hyperlinked world | Marc Leonard Sun, 05 Dec 2021 09:00:00 +0000


Sometimes a gas bill isn’t just a demand for payment – it’s a secret weapon. And as millions of British voters see their bills skyrocket this spring, they will find themselves in his sights.

Recently, three other energy sources went bankrupt – Bulb, Orbit Energy, Entice Energy – bringing the total number of failed suppliers to 24 in less than 12 weeks. In October, European gas prices were six times higher than a year earlier, meaning suppliers have to pay more for wholesale energy than they can sell under the EU’s price cap. government energy. And in the spring, when the government raises the price cap, the few surviving companies will raise their prices to recoup the losses they suffered during the winter. It’s a frightening prospect, but readers trying to understand our cost-of-living crisis must look beyond the business pages to delve into geopolitics.

Russian President Vladimir Putin did not cause the global energy crisis, but he used it to turn his country’s gas reserves into a loaded weapon directed against the West. He took a look at the conditions – a long winter, growing demand from India and China, destruction of gas storage facilities in countries like the UK, maintenance delays in gas fields. gas elsewhere – and seized its moment. And, in this specific case, he had a specific goal in mind beyond his continuing desire to humiliate the West: to force European and German regulators to certify the now completed Nord Stream 2 pipeline that will transport large quantities of gas. most important under the Baltic Sea. to Europe and provide valuable currency to a struggling Russian economy. Don’t expect more offer is its unsubtle message, unless you are playing ball on Nord Stream.

Russia is in the form of using gas as a weapon. It cut the gas supply to Ukraine and its Western government twice in the 2000s. When Moldova elected a new pro-EU government this year, Gazprom significantly increased its tariffs and cut by a third deliveries, which led to the declaration of a state of emergency. This time, Putin didn’t even have to turn off the taps to put pressure on his rivals. Russia honored its existing contracts, but simply refused to pump more gas as European demand skyrocketed after the lockdowns ended. Far more dramatically than any number of Russian warships or bombers flying close to British airspace, it underscored Putin’s message that Europe should be careful in dealing with him. After all, he has his hand on the jugular of Europe. Putin’s tactic may not have worked in the short term – Nordstream’s approval is currently on hold by German regulators and he ended up ordering more gas pumped. But it is playing a long game and has sown fear in the hearts of European politicians.

British consumers unwittingly found themselves playing a leading role in a geopolitical revolution, of which Putin was a pioneer. Carl von Clausewitz called war the continuation of politics by other means. But in the nuclear age, the price of war is unfathomable. This is why connectivity conflicts are becoming the “other means” of global politics. Countries lead conflicts by manipulating the very things that connect them.

The politics of the great powers have become like a loveless marriage where the couple are unable to divorce. And, like an unhappy couple, it’s the things they shared during the good times that become means of doing harm. In a falling apart marriage, vindictive partners use the children, the dog, and the vacation home to harm each other. In geopolitics, it’s gas, supply chains, finance, movement of people, the internet and even issues like Covid and the climate that are militarized.

Just look at the world’s response to Covid. Rather than working together to increase global supplies of vaccines, masks and gowns, countries like China have used their stocks to intimidate others – 98 countries have imposed export restrictions on PPE and medicine.

When it comes to trade and finance, one of the reasons Putin wanted to fight the West is the fact that his country has been subject to strict sanctions since he annexed Crimea in 2013. The sanctions have become a weapon of first resort with China targeting Japan, Russia sanctions Turkey and the United States listed more than 800 entities in 2020 alone.

Russia is one of the many countries that have used the Internet to interfere in the affairs of other nations. Between fall 2016 and spring 2019, there were attempts to interfere with elections in 20 democracies representing 1.2 billion people – and that’s before looking at issues like Cambridge Analytica.

Even migrants are turned into bullets. Witness the Belarusian dictator and his secret services who have attracted refugees from the Middle East via Belarus to Poland and Lithuania, to put pressure on their governments. Academic Kelly Greenhill has documented more than 75 occasions over the past decades where countries ranging from Cuba and Morocco to Libya and Turkey have used forced migration to achieve political, military or economic goals.

We may be on the cusp of a new silent pandemic. Like Covid-19, it is spreading exponentially across the planet, exploiting the loopholes in our networked and ever-changing world to escape our defenses. But unlike the virus, which pits all of humanity against a disease, this new pandemic is transmitted deliberately. It is not biological, but a set of toxic behaviors that multiply like a virus. The links between peoples and countries become weapons.

It is connectivity itself that gives people the opportunity to fight, the reasons to compete, and the arsenal to deploy. Conventional wars have been declining for decades – each year more people commit suicide than die in armed conflict. But that does not mean that we live in an era of peace.

Academics working on cyber issues sought to describe the gray area their world was immersed in, where they saw millions of attacks every day that did not conform to conventional warfare. They rehabilitated an Anglo-Saxon word: unpeace. And as violence spreads from the internet to commerce, finance, migration and beyond, their word sums up our condition perfectly. British gas customers are familiarizing themselves with an unstable world, prone to crises, of perpetual competition and endless attacks between competing powers. Welcome to the era of peace.

Mark Leonard is the director of the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR) and the author of The age of peace.


South Korea to watch financial markets closely amid concerns over volatility caused by omicron Mon, 29 Nov 2021 01:46:53 +0000

This photo, taken on Sunday, shows an arrival hall at Incheon International Airport, west of Seoul. Health officials began barring the entry of foreigners from eight African countries, including South Africa, on the same day to block the influx of the new variant of COVID-19 omicron. (Yonhap)

South Korea will closely monitor global and local financial markets for any impact of the emergence of the omicron variant of the coronavirus and take preventive and active measures, if necessary, to reduce market volatility, a senior official of the Ministry of Finance.

Senior Deputy Finance Minister Lee Eog-weon made the remark during a meeting to discuss macroeconomic issues as financial market volatility could escalate due to the spread of the potentially more transferable omicron variant. .

“It is difficult to rule out the possibility that omicron may serve as an uncertainty factor that could increase volatility in domestic and international financial markets in the short term due to the lack of information,” said Lee.

“We will monitor the local and foreign financial markets around the clock,” added Lee. “If necessary, we will respond preventively and actively in cooperation with the relevant agencies. “

Lee has always urged people to remain calm, noting that local financial markets, in particular, have gained resilience in the process of recovering from the impact of previous waves of the pandemic.

“Contactless working and increasing online spending has also increased the ability to better cushion any impact from the coronavirus,” he said.

South Korea on Sunday imposed an entry ban on all foreign arrivals from eight African countries in a bid to block the influx of the omicron variant.

South Korea has seen its daily coronavirus cases remain high amid its efforts to bring pandemic-affected life and economy back to normal by relaxing social distancing rules in phases as part of its ” life with COVID-19 ”introduced earlier this month.

The government planned to take the second step in mid-December, but health officials have warned the country may not be able to do so if the current trend continues.

Earlier today, local stock and money markets got off to a weak start amid concerns over the omicron variant. (Yonhap)

Shale patch sees limited impact from Biden’s unusual oil release Tue, 23 Nov 2021 19:26:44 +0000


(Bloomberg) – The Biden administration’s coordinated and unprecedented attempt to bring oil prices under control by allowing one of the largest cuts ever to U.S. crude reserves has sparked a collective shrug from the shale zone.

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Industry players generally agreed that this move would have a limited effect on lowering gasoline prices – which was President Joe Biden’s ultimate goal with the planned release of 50 million barrels of crude from the stockpile. American, known as SPR. China, Japan, India, South Korea and the UK will also release oil from their reserves.

Bryan Sheffield, Managing Partner at Formentera Partners

The post was factored into oil prices weeks ago, but now it’s “old news,” Sheffield said by email. If this move succeeds in lowering oil prices, it could discourage producers from increasing production and ultimately exacerbate the “bottleneck problems” created by high demand and insufficient supply, a he declared.

Peter Sutherland, President of Henrietta Resources LLC

“To be fair, the White House had a limited toolbox, and it was the best option available, although it will have the unintended consequence of higher oil prices later on. It really shows how concerned the administration is about inflation next year and halfway through. We believe these stocks will keep prices under control until spring, but could backfire as early as next summer. “

Randy Ollenberger, Analyst at BMO Capital Markets

“The politically motivated publication could have a short-lived and limited impact on the oil market given the imminent start of the winter heating season and the concomitant increase in demand,” Ollenberger said in a note to investors. “In addition, the OPEC + group could postpone its planned production increase, mitigating the impact of the SPR exit.”

Ed Longanecker, President of the Texas Independent Producers and Royalty Owners Association

“The Biden administration knows that any impact from an SPR release is a temporary and inadequate quick fix to deal with rising energy prices,” Longanecker said in a statement. He called for the construction of US pipelines and the export of more US oil to keep prices lower.

“Short-sighted political decisions like an SPR publication or asking OPEC to increase production will have serious and lasting implications for our national security, economy and environment,” he said.

Leslie Beyer, Managing Director of the Energy Workforce & Technology Council

“We appreciate that the Biden administration recognizes that rising fuel prices pose a significant threat to the US economy, but an SPR release will only be a short-term solution,” Beyer said in a statement.

“The current energy crisis is the result of misguided energy policies that increase the cost of fuel and discourage energy production in the United States. The Biden administration should adopt energy policies that stimulate the production of the cleanest and most reliable energy in the world, to ensure that America maintains energy independence and security. “

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